Sep 30, 2026, 9:16 AMMarkets and Politics
JPMorgan TACO Barometer Signals It Is Time for a Trump Deal
JPMorgan created a TACO barometer to anticipate Donald Trump's behavior, but MarketWatch's Sept. 30, 2026 feed omitted its method, data and current reading.
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Summary
JPMorgan (JPM) has devised a TACO barometer, shorthand for “Trump Always Chickens Out,” to predict Donald Trump’s behavior. MarketWatch published the item on Sept. 30, 2026, and its headline says the gauge indicates it is time for Trump to strike a deal.
Only a short feed summary was available. It did not disclose the barometer’s methodology, inputs, numerical reading, track record, negotiation at issue, affected markets, or next event, limiting investor conclusions.
Positives
- JPMorgan has created a named barometer intended to predict Donald Trump’s behavior.
- MarketWatch’s Sept. 30, 2026 headline says the gauge signals that Trump should strike a deal.
- The TACO acronym makes the barometer’s behavioral premise explicit: “Trump Always Chickens Out.”
Risks & concerns
- The available feed gives no methodology, inputs, numerical reading, or validation record for JPMorgan’s barometer.
- The source does not identify the deal, policy dispute, market, asset class, or investors the signal concerns.
- Trump is described as mercurial, highlighting the uncertainty in using a behavioral gauge to predict his next move.
- No timetable or next event is disclosed beyond the Sept. 30, 2026 publication date.
Primary sourceMarketWatch.com - Top Storieshttps://www.marketwatch.com/story/theres-a-new-wall-street-taco-index-and-this-one-is-saying-its-time-for-trump-to-strike-a-deal-c9ccb3fc?mod=mw_rss_topstories
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